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Arizona Senate race pivots Democrat's - Sinema Wins

By Tim Aurora follow Tim Aurora   2018 Nov 10, 10:14am 3,243 views   33 comments   watch   nsfw   quote   share    


https://www.theblaze.com/news/2018/11/10/arizona-us-senate-sinema-widens-lead-over-mcsally-trump-suggests-election-re-do

Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has increased her lead over GOP Rep. Martha McSally in the tight Arizona U.S. Senate race, according to published reports.

What’s the latest?
The latest tally of votes published late Friday shows Sinema has more than doubled her lead over her Republican challenger by about 20,203 votes or just over one percentage point. Earlier on Friday, Sinema led by 9,100 votes for a 0.48 percentage point advantage out of nearly 2 million votes cast.
1   FortWayneIndiana   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 10, 12:44pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Keep stuffing that ballot box in that one county, you'll eventually win.
3   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 10, 2:07pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

FortWayneIndiana says
Keep stuffing that ballot box in that one county, you'll eventually win.


Is that Trump who claimed that Democrats had 4 million illegal votes
4   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 12, 5:10pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Democratic Senate candidate Kyrsten Sinema scored a win in Arizona over Republican Martha McSally, flipping a longtime Republican seat and narrowing the GOP’s majority in the upper chamber.
5   mell   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 12, 6:35pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Congrats. Note that she's somewhat in the middle on immigration, far to the right of the crazy lefty abolish ice dems. She has to since her state borders and she wouldn't be elected with a looney open borders stance.
6   NoCoupForYou   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 12, 7:00pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Absentee Ballots for disabled, elderly nursing home residents

+

Nursing Home Social Workers

=

Thousands of Votes for Democrats

My evidence? Common Sense:

The Republican Governor, elected by a margin of over 300,000 votes. In Maricopa, his lead was almost 200,000 alone.


The House, 3 districts each for Republicans and Democrats. All of the Red districts immediately around Phoenix re-elected their republican by over 10% of the vote,~30k to 50k in each case.


And yet, the Senate went to Sinema.


Sure, people split the ticket sometimes. But it's fairly rare, and happens between charismatic centrist candidates running for different offices. Here we had a Conservative Governor and an AltLeft Pussyhat wearing ex-Green Party Member.

You have to believe that ~350000 people who voted for the Republican Governor also voted for an Ex-Green Party as Senator, instead of the A-10 Pilot.
7   NoCoupForYou   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 12, 7:32pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Congratulations to @kyrstensinema on a race well run, and won. It’s been a wonderful honor representing Arizona in the Senate. You’ll be great.

— Jeff Flake (@JeffFlake) November 13, 2018

8   CovfefeButDeadly   ignore (5)   2018 Nov 12, 8:01pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Sure, people split the ticket sometimes. But it's fairly rare, and happens between charismatic centrist candidates running for different offices. Here we had a Conservative Governor and an AltLeft Pussyhat wearing ex-Green Party Member.

You have to believe that ~350000 people who voted for the Republican Governor also voted for an Ex-Green Party as Senator, instead of the A-10 Pilot.


I think you'll get no responses as the Dems also find it very odd. They won't look a gift horse in the mouth, but deep down they are thinking it.
9   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 12, 9:13pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

No we think that you are blowing off some air and waiting for you to cool down.

CovfefeButDeadly says
I think you'll get no responses as the Dems also find it very odd. They won't look a gift horse in the mouth, but deep down they are thinking it.
11   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 12, 9:17pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Here is Georgia we flipped the suburbs to Blue. Welcome to the new reality. Trump can go and hide in the forest as he has been driven out of all the major cities and suburbs and exurbs. People here think he is killing the institution and permanently harming our country.
12   lostand confused   ignore (0)   2018 Nov 13, 12:15am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
Here is Georgia we flipped the suburbs to Blue. Welcome to the new reality. Trump can go and hide in the forest as he has been driven out of all the major cities and suburbs and exurbs. People here think he is killing the institution and permanently harming our country.

This is one election -Trump did much ebtetr than Obama or Clinton. Bush ahd 9/11 or would have been much worse. We shall see.

Now that dems are running openly as socialists and hate mobs and openly claling for open borders-well it will eb interesting-if youa re right America's demise might be pretty close. You can't have a country without borders.
14   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 13, 5:34am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

No one wants open borders but just respect for the immigrants already here and following the international treaties of asylum.

lostand confused says
Now that dems are running openly as socialists and hate mobs and openly claling for open borders-well it will eb interesting-if youa re right America's demise might be pretty close. You can't have a country without borders.

15
 



Booger
 
ignore (1)  
19   Misc   ignore (0)   2018 Nov 13, 7:12am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

The Democrat running for governor in Arizona was successfully painted as an open borders fool. McSally ran a negative ad campaign vs Sinema, but it didn't stick. McSally was also GOPe (more McCain like than Trump like). So really the Washington establishment lost one, but don't worry Senator Kyle (the one the Arizona governor appointed to replace McCain) has said he's only serving until January 3rd. At that time it is expected that the governor will appoint McSally as senator in his stead. So just because the voters rejected McSally doesn't mean she won't be senator. The establishment knows how to play the game.
20   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 13, 2:49pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

In essence Democrats lost only 1 seat ( as they picked up Alabama ) and it will be 53 - 47 ( assuming Republicans win Florida and Mississippi)
21   WookieMan   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 14, 4:50am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
In essence Democrats lost only 1 seat ( as they picked up Alabama ) and it will be 53 - 47 ( assuming Republicans win Florida and Mississippi)


And? The Democrats have control of the house. Republicans keep the senate, with a majority that would require all Dems unite and 4 R's to flip their vote to get anything that gets the Democrat party base excited and happy (and the POTUS still needs to sign). Maybe there will be some crossing of the isle and working together, but these toddlers generally don't play nice in the sandbox.

If nothing gets done over the next two years, I'm not sure who's going to take the brunt of the voter's wrath. If the economy keeps going well into 2020, I don't see how Dems don't get spanked in that election. You can't keep saying it's Obama's economy in 2019 & 2020 anymore going into that election.

I think the biggest thing to watch near term is as the dust settles after the 2019 tax filing season (2018 tax year) giving us preliminary results on the tax cuts. If tax revenue falls precipitously and people don't get as big a tax return as they thought or have in the past, it's going to leave a bad taste in a lot of voters mouths. I'm talking red states here mainly. The high SALT states are generally all blue and many will likely get a smaller tax return or if they withhold the correct amount, may owe in 2019. They were going to stay blue anyway though.
23   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 14, 4:20pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/arizona/
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Sure, people split the ticket sometimes. But it's fairly rare, and happens between charismatic centrist candidates running for different offices. Here we had a Conservative Governor and an AltLeft Pussyhat wearing ex-Green Party Member.

You have to believe that ~350000 people who voted for the Republican Governor also voted for an Ex-Green Party as Senator, instead of the A-10 Pilot.
24   Liberal_in_blackface   ignore (6)   2018 Nov 14, 4:32pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
No one wants open borders but just respect for the immigrants already here and following the international treaties of asylum.


What "international treaties" are we talking about here?
25   HeadSet   ignore (3)   2018 Nov 14, 5:37pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

No one wants open borders but just respect for the immigrants already here and following the international treaties of asylum.

Sounds like "Once you are here you stay, so all you others keep on coming." Just don't call it open borders.
26   NoCoupForYou   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 14, 5:38pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/arizona/


Has nothing to do with explaining why if the Governor won by a comfortable margin of getting on 300,000 votes, how the Senator of the other party ended up with 30,000.

It's rare for people who vote for a Republican Governor, and a Republican House Member, to vote for a Pussyhat wearing Dem for Senate.

Independents also tend to vote one party down the ticket, depending on which one pisses them off the most (or least).
27   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 16, 1:58pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

As per 538 , the Governor's race was for Republicans while the Senate was a close advantage for Democrats. So the results tracked the forecast, ( apparently in the forecast Ducey was popular by 14 points and Sinema by 2 points and the results were very same as forecast) . If you question Arizona split , you should be aghast by the Massachusetts results. ( which was +24 and -33 for Democrats)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/arizona/
28   Tim Aurora   ignore (1)   2018 Nov 16, 2:05pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

You have these weird theories on how people should vote and I would like you explain Massachusetts to me

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massachusetts_gubernatorial_election,_2018

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Massachusetts,_2018


TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
It's rare for people who vote for a Republican Governor, and a Republican House Member, to vote for a Pussyhat wearing Dem for Senate.

Independents also tend to vote one party down the ticket, depending on which one pisses them off the most (or least).
29   FortWayneIndiana   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 16, 2:16pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Weird part is OC all of a sudden voted in Democrat. I call bullshit, that place is ultra republican. It just looks very suspect.
30   rdm   ignore (3)   2018 Nov 16, 5:25pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

FortWayneIndiana says
Weird part is OC all of a sudden voted in Democrat. I call bullshit, that place is ultra republican. It just looks very suspect.


Its TDS as you guys would say. They fucking hate Trump even the Republicans
31   NoCoupForYou   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 16, 6:04pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/atlanta/stacey-abrams-to-speak-live-on-channel-2-action-news-at-5/874160971

FortWayneIndiana says
Weird part is OC all of a sudden voted in Democrat. I call bullshit, that place is ultra republican. It just looks very suspect.


I think that isn't bullshit, not in this case. The Wealthy have their tax cut, now they want their wide open border and cheap slave made imports.

Democrats are the very wealthy and the very poor against the middle.
32   NoCoupForYou   ignore (4)   2018 Nov 16, 6:06pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
You have these weird theories on how people should vote and I would like you explain Massachusetts to me


Both the Senator and Governor were incumbents.

Baker was elected in the Red Wave of 2014.

You're welcome!
33   anonymous   ignore (null)   2018 Nov 16, 6:10pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Tim Aurora says
No one wants open borders but just respect for the immigrants already here and following the international treaties of asylum.
Are you talking about illegal immigrants already here?

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