2018 Aug 31, 7:26am
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There was no nuclear war with North Korea, Trump's Tough Talk on Trade has produced many concessions on the opposite side with very few if any by the United States- from Europe to Mexico- rather than a "Global Trade War", we have record low unemployment, and record high stock markets, the very opposite of what the Very Serious People predicted, from Krugman on down.
MrMagic saysLike predicting the outcome of the Electoral College? How close was Nate there?And this is another example of someone not understanding how probability works.It's not smug to state the truth.
Like predicting the outcome of the Electoral College? How close was Nate there?
Do you even read what you post.Nate missing his electoral college prediction by over 75 points has nothing to do with "probability". It has to do with making a completely WRONG prediction, which matched all his wrong predictions for that past year.THAT is the truth.
Did you find that EU agreement yet detailing all the concessions that you claim the US got?
That chart came from Nate's web site the morning of the election. That was his PREDICTION on who was going to win which state, and the E.C. votes that came with it. Sorry that you don't understand the basic operation of how the Electoral College works.
Nope, just a public promise by Juncker that was confirmed by subsequent announcements from EU spokespersons as well as other announcements to increase LNG transshipment facilities in Europe specifically for US Imports.
And had the most asskissing press and opaque administration in US History
So, an empty promise where Europe said they would reduce tariffs if we do. That's the big concession that Trump got? Woo-Hoo. What a dealmaker!!
Compared to July 2017, EU imports of soybeans from the United States are currently up by 283% at 360,000 tonnes;In terms of the EU's total imports of soybeans the U.S. share is now at 37%, compared to 9% in July 2017;Imports of soymeal, which are traditionally lower with regards to the U.S., are also on the rise - 185,000 tonnes were imported in July 2018, an increase of 3,337% compared with July 2017;The U.S. is now supplying 13% of EU soymeal imports compared to 0.3% in July 2017.
IF anything, I conclude the opposite as you. We've become so immune to Trumps ignorance and embarrassing bullshit, that he regularly gets away with, or at least is relatively ignored by us for things that would ruin regular politicians. I'm sure he's proud of that, this dangerous situation he's created. Many of us see it for what it is.
talking heads spew nothing but hate for the President whom people are gradually becoming more fond of as he makes things better day by day in America.
Stock Market Boom, all time highs. Unemployment, all time lows. Refugees cut back drastically. Consumer Confidence at century highs. Amazing Leadership.
Consumer confidence is lower than 2014 and 2016. But don't let facts screw you up.
Trump's Soybean export growth makes Obama's look tiny. Obama didn't even try to get it up: "We can't we can't, we can't, get it up more than 3%"
If Junker doesn't keep his word, he'll be a helluva liar, as will the EU since it's released multiple papers about how they plan on importing more US LNG.
Bouncing back from a horrible recession is easy. Growing the economy beyond that is hard.
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce saysTrump's Soybean export growth makes Obama's look tiny. Obama didn't even try to get it up: "We can't we can't, we can't, get it up more than 3%"bwahahahahaha. Is that a joke?? Here is a chart of soybean prices:So, you are celebrating soybean prices falling like a rock due to the tariffs Trump has instituted as a good thing for US farmers... because Europe is buying a few more of them?? US farmers are getting killed right now. They are losing millions of $$ due to his trade policies. MILLIONS.Please keep trying to spin this as good.
Yep borrow and spend will do amazing things for the stock market. Odd how the people who were so bitterly opposed to it at the depth of the recession are so enthusiastic at the peak of the economic cycle.
The biggest difference between the Trump economy and the Obama economy is full time jobs. Yes, the unemployment rate was getting lower under Obama, but they were all part time jobs that were created. Under Trump full time jobs were created and millions of part time jobs became full time jobs. This is what led the increase in confidence.
bwahahahahaha. Is that a joke?? Here is a chart of soybean prices:
So, you are celebrating soybean prices falling like a rock due to the tariffs Trump has instituted as a good thing for US farmers.
He doesn't have to "keep his word" because it depends on Trump keeping his. He knows Trump won't follow through so it was an easy statement to make. Which is why he made it. Europe will import LNG if the price of US LNG is less than other suppliers, just like they're doing with soybeans. Trump accomplished nothing.
Well, I guess I don't have to respond much, since others posted some amazing charts to put things in perspective.It's stunning how people are attempting to talk down these unbelievably good times, while acting like a sluggish recovery from a severe recession was an amazing feat when it is quite routine.
Do you understand how commodity pricing works?
Of course soybean prices vary year to year based on weather and yield, but the chart I posted shows the drop due to the tariffs. I thought anyone would be able to realize the difference...
It's stunning how people are attempting to talk down these unbelievably good times,
Oh really... now we're at prices dropping based on weather and yield during Obama years, but during Trump years, it's because of tariffs? Really?Do you realize how stupid that sounds? It makes your unsourced, undated chart and your narrative even more dishonest.
MrMagic saysOh really... now we're at prices dropping based on weather and yield during Obama years, but during Trump years, it's because of tariffs? Really?Do you realize how stupid that sounds? It makes your unsourced, undated chart and your narrative even more dishonest.It only sounds stupid to people who live in Trump cultist fairy land. Those of us in the real world can analyze data and attribute cause fairly easily.
Wow...There are no words...Folks, you just can't make this crap up.....
Falling food prices?! What a monster!!
It sucks if you're in the business of making and exporting food, like the US is.
MrMagic saysWow...There are no words...Folks, you just can't make this crap up.....Truth hurts, doesn't it?
Funny, you weren't complaining about that in 2012 - 2015 when Obama was President and soy prices were crashing.Why was that?
Because the cause was different. If prices are down because (your) supply is up,
A model that cannot predict is useless.
So, Ironman is now your authority? My how the mighty have fallen.
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