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No you are missing boorish critique. You suggest it is hypocrisy to agree w nate on some predictions and not agree on others. This is as illogical as an observation gets.
The government backing allows too much easy money which is what drives up prices. Without government backing, the irresponsible borrowers would not be able to bid up prices. The only people in the market would be people who saved up the down payment and then the houses would be affordable enough to buy with a 10 -15 year loan.
Easy money always drives up prices
Like I said, NS is irrelevant more so than just being wrong.
he government backing frees banks to lend to people who would otherwise be considered too risky. That is, a bank would normally want a down payment and a home worth sufficient collateral before making a loan. With the government taking the risk of default, the banks can throw money around to non-savers and reckless buyers. Have you forgotten the price run ups in 2003-2008 caused by anyone who could fog a mirror getting a loan?
Similarly, the price of a house should be approximately the annual rent (minus upkeep, etc) divided by the current interest rate. If the house brings in $10,000/year in profit, and the current interest rate is 5%, then the house is worth $200,000. At that price, it's the about the same to rent or to buy.
And when he lost, crowing about how the Democrats upped their vote total ---- in an open seat, with tons of positive media coverage of Ossof, and the most spent on any Congressional Race in US History.
NS purpose is to give info that certain people want to hear, specifically fund raisers. Much easier to raise campaign funds for a likely winner than to raise campaign funds for a likely loser. Also, easier to get donations in general for the likely winner since many donors want to be investing in the winning side. Tell them what they want to hear all along, then claim the "probability" and "margin of error" excuses when outright wrong.
Anybody remember Handel is Georgia's 6th? And all the money and time Hollywood, the Media, and Big Tech was dumped into it?"Neck and Neck" pollsters crowed. Some gave had Handel down by 10pts.https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/06/20/new-forecast-only-a-55-chance-that-jon-ossoff-wins-georgias-house-special-election/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.3c73d2103783 Hell some said Ossoff wasn't even going to have to go to runoff elections, getting more than 50% in the first round.Handel won by 3.5 pts.
The big news is that the wealthy voted Democrat.
It sure looks like the deciding factor in the Senate was the Kavanaugh vote, which mitigates the Suburban White Woman theory.
But, it's really no biggie, the House was on par with a typical midterm election
Also, the strategy was to pump the Senate Races, but not so much the House races. Looks like this was misguided.
And, the Democrats outspent the Republicans again. They were able to do so, despite being almost bust after 2016, because the Wealthy lavished them with donations.
That's funny, Pew just released a report whether you went to an SJW indoctrination Camp did matter, especially if your Gulag major was a non-STEM, SJW-bullshit infused Social Science/Lib Arts program that Women have in greater proportion to males:
Scott is in an excessively Red State?
It was a typical midterm election -- In the House. The opposition picked up 30ish seats.
They spent a fortune. Your GA-06 flip probably is nearing $100M in costs.
Nope. It's not a wave. It's simply an off year election. 30ish votes being typical. 60 is a wave election, like the Republicans in 2010.And the pickups in the Senate confirm that.
Yes, Trump was focused on the Senate. .Figured the House would be dragged along. Didn't work - and nobody really knows why we had two opposite results.Dems weren't, they were looking for the House. So I stand by the approaching $100M for GA-06, and the win was paper thin and will be easily overturned in 2020.
Maybe those House Members made a mistake.Again, Florida isn't a Deep Red State
He should have win, and will win. Just because it isn't deep Red doesn't mean it can't flip a Dem Senator.Get ready for 2020. Please run Kamala Harris if possible.
Sorry, nationally anyone that goes by Beto is going to get thrashed. I know it's not his actual name, but Beto cannot come close to getting elected on a national level
Dems really need to shift out of the fringe issues
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce saysFor posterity:So, let's recap. As I tried to tell all of you, Nate was almost perfect. Dems are expected to win 38 seats when all is said and done and votes are done counting in CA.The RCP polling average is going to be pretty damn close as well with Dems +7 or +7.5My favorite--GA6 went to Dems this go around. Just needed a better candidate than Ossoff.And as I tried to tell McGee--Republicans have lost suburban soccer Moms for a long time. Dems consistently won all types of suburban districts.Typically, the party out of power wins in the midterms because the other party doesn't show up to vote. in 2018, Trump got his base out and they voted. But he has alienated so many ...
Trump needs to decertify California elections and say try again in a couple years with FAIR elections! I still don’t know anyone who admits to voting against Prop6, the gas and registration tax repeal. I know a lot of people who are pissed off that it failed. Massive vote fraud is what Democrats do best. Fuckers.
When the Repubs do it, it's voter fraud. When the Dems do it, it's voter guidance.
This is stupid
Oh, please, spare me. Are you saying Joe Kennedy didn't spray money throughout the south buying votes to get John F. Elected?
In the article I talk about both Republican and Democratic voter fraud. For you to say it's only the Republicans who cheat is flawed. It cuts both ways. The Republicans steal elections because the Democrats do and to think the Democrats just want to count every vote is feeble minded. Where did these votes come from? How did they get them after election night? This is legal election thievery. That you don't want to see that is Democrats blind side. Keep your eyes on the road Democrat. Don't look to the side, you might actually see something.
Uh, search for Snipes on the Forum.
Well, duh, the investigation hasn't begun yet.We need $20M and the next two years on Snipes alone.
Democrats winning in completely Republican districts is evidence of wrongdoing.